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001 978-1-4614-6058-9
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005 20200420211740.0
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008 130202s2013 xxu| s |||| 0|eng d
020 _a9781461460589
_9978-1-4614-6058-9
024 7 _a10.1007/978-1-4614-6058-9
_2doi
050 4 _aHD30.23
072 7 _aKJT
_2bicssc
072 7 _aKJMD
_2bicssc
072 7 _aBUS049000
_2bisacsh
082 0 4 _a658.40301
_223
100 1 _aCox, Jr., Louis Anthony.
_eauthor.
245 1 0 _aImproving Risk Analysis
_h[electronic resource] /
_cby Louis Anthony Cox, Jr.
264 1 _aNew York, NY :
_bSpringer New York :
_bImprint: Springer,
_c2013.
300 _aXXV, 386 p. 39 illus., 16 illus. in color.
_bonline resource.
336 _atext
_btxt
_2rdacontent
337 _acomputer
_bc
_2rdamedia
338 _aonline resource
_bcr
_2rdacarrier
347 _atext file
_bPDF
_2rda
490 1 _aInternational Series in Operations Research & Management Science,
_x0884-8289 ;
_v185
505 0 _aCausality for Risk Analysts: Improving Our Understanding of How the World Works -- Improving Individual Risk Management Decisions: Learning from Experience and Coping with Model Uncertainty -- Improving Community Risk Management: Managing Disaster Risks -- Improving Organizational Risk Management -- Improving Defense Against Intelligent Adversaries -- Managing Real and Percieved Risks: Animal Antibiotics and Drug-Resistant Infections -- Rethinking the Health Benefits fo Air Pollution Control -- Air Pollution and Health Risk Inequality -- A Causal Model of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) -- Exposure-Response Thresholds for Lung Disease -- An Exposure-Response Threshold for Lung Diseases and Lung Cancer Caused by Crystalline Silica -- Nonlinear Effects of Smoking on Coronary Heart Disease Risk -- Do Cold Weather and Fine Particulate Matter Air Pollution Cause Early Deaths in the Elderly? -- Conclusions and Recommendations: What Have We Learned?.
520 _aImproving Risk Analysis discusses and illustrates practical methods for assessing, communicating, and managing uncertain risks when the probabilities of consequences caused by alternative actions cannot be quantified with useful confidence, accuracy, and precision. This monograph demonstrates how to avoid these pitfalls by using improved techniques of risk analysis. Through these improved techniques of risk analysis, readers will better understand uncertain risks and be able to make more effective decisions about how to manage them.  The book is divided into three parts. Parts 1 and 2 explore the key principles on how high-quality risk analysis can greatly improve the clarity and effectiveness of decisions when the consequences of different choices are uncertain. Part 3 shows in greater detail how these introduced methods can be applied to health effects of air pollution, with emphasis on understanding and modeling causal relations between exposures and responses based on realistically limited and imperfect data. Throughout the book, real-world examples and case studies drawn from health, safety, environmental, and terrorism risk analysis are used and illustrate the practical application of techniques for improving risk analysis.
650 0 _aBusiness.
650 0 _aOrganization.
650 0 _aPlanning.
650 0 _aOperations research.
650 0 _aDecision making.
650 0 _aManagement science.
650 1 4 _aBusiness and Management.
650 2 4 _aOperation Research/Decision Theory.
650 2 4 _aOperations Research, Management Science.
650 2 4 _aOrganization.
710 2 _aSpringerLink (Online service)
773 0 _tSpringer eBooks
776 0 8 _iPrinted edition:
_z9781461460572
830 0 _aInternational Series in Operations Research & Management Science,
_x0884-8289 ;
_v185
856 4 0 _uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-6058-9
912 _aZDB-2-SBE
942 _cEBK
999 _c50624
_d50624